Development chances high for tropical disturbance in Gulf

Tropical wave could affect western Caribbean

Tropical Depression could form by late this weekend

The National Hurricane Center said late Friday that conditions now limiting development will change in the coming days, becoming more conducive for slow development.

Potential Tropical Cyclone Fourteen is moving toward the northwest near 6 miles per hour (9 km/h). As the pattern begins to change, in advance of the tropical system, we will see scattered storms and showers on Monday and Tuesday. It would then be given the name Michael - becoming the 13th named storm of the 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season. This general motion is expected for the next couple of days. A reconnaissance plane will investigate the system on Sunday. The National Hurricane Center is forecasting a high probability of tropical development at 100%. Atmospheric conditions there are forecast to become more favorable for a tropical depression to form. The National Hurricane Center is forecasting a 20% chance of tropical development within the next 2 days, increasing to 30% chance within the next 5 days.

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It urged people in the Yucatan Penninsula, western Cuba and the northern Gulf Coast to keep on the system.

The center's storm tracking shows it in southern Alabama by 1 p.m. Wednesday before veering northeast into all of Georgia and SC, eastern Tennessee and all but the eastern coastal end of North Carolina. Temperatures will stay in the the upper 70s and low 80s this afternoon with humidity still fairly high so we will feel a bit warmer than that. A separate area of persistent very heavy rainfall is expected along the Pacific coast of Central America and Mexico, including western Nicaragua, El Salvador, Guatemala, and the state of Chiapas in Mexico.

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